SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Zootopia to remain top destination

Four new films vie for the attention of moviegoers as we spring forward into daylight savings time this weekend. None will challenge the record-breaking Zootopia [ZOOTP] for the top spot. With excellent word of mouth, Zootopia could hold 60% of its opening for a sophomore session around $45 million.

John Goodman [JGOOD] and Mary Elizabeth Winstead [MEWIN] star in the PG-13 rated thriller 10 Cloverfield Lane [CELAR].  The mysterious film appeared only two months earlier when Paramount quietly placed the trailer in front of 13 Hours with a title that recalled Cloverfield, the 2008 monster film that opened to a massive $40 million. Despite producer J.J. Abrams’ proclamation that the film is not a direct sequel, will fans be disappointed that the film is mostly set in a cellar? Prepping in 3391 theaters, 10 Cloverfield Lane may accumulate $25 million.

London Has Fallen [HFAL2] didn’t come close to its predecessor Olympus Has Fallen. The sequel is likely to tumble 55% in its second weekend to around $9.5 million.

Sacha Baron Cohen [SBCOH] is back to offend in The Brothers Grimsby [GRMSB] co-starring Mark Strong [MSTRO]. Cohen has been ubiquitous in promoting the R-rated comedy with a campaign focusing on audience reactions to a particular outrageous sequence involving elephants. However, the film did not break out during its debut in Cohen’s native Britain, and the buzz doesn’t appear to have caught on stateside either. The Brothers Grimsby may end up with $9 million from 2235 locations.

One week after Risen explored the resurrection of Jesus, The Young Messiah [CHRST] examines the early life of Jesus. Focus Features neglects to mention that the PG-13 rated film is based on a novel by Anne Rice, a name more liktle to repel than draw Christian churchgoers. Showing in 1761 theaters, The Young Messiah could deliver $7 million.

Lionsgate targets African-Americans with the R-rated romantic comedy The Perfect Match [TPMTC] starring Terrence J. Codeblack Films’ last production Addicted opened to $7.5 million in 2014. However, Addicted with its female lead holds more appeal to women than The Perfect Match with its male playboy. The Perfect Match could swipe $4.5 million from 925 theaters.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): ZOOTP, JGOOD, MEWIN, CELAR, HFAL2, SBCOH, GRMSB, MSTRO, CHRST, TPMTC

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, March 10, 2016 @ 02:58 PM 2444 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Thunderbolts* (TBOLT) 150000 175.78 (+0.87)          Kingdom of the Planet of the Ape (APES4) 150000 142.59 (-0.99)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 100 18.00 (0.00)          Cus and Mike (CUSMK) 8000 0.01 (0.00)          In the Grey aka Untitled Guy Rit (NGREY) 1 29.63 (-0.18)          Untitled Alejandro Gonzalez Inar (UAGIP) 75000 52.31 (+0.55)          City of Dreams aka Dreamer (DEAMR) 150000 4.03 (-0.13)          City of Dreams aka Dreamer (DEAMR) 150000 4.03 (-0.13)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 40000 51.66 (-3.77)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 25000 18.00 (0.00)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 25000 51.66 (-3.77)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 130000 18.00 (0.00)          Easy's Waltz (EWLTZ) 150000 12.11 (-0.18)          Easy's Waltz (EWLTZ) 150000 12.11 (-0.18)          Press Your Luck (PLUCK) 75000 7.81 (-0.19)          Drop (DROP) 25000 24.13 (-0.19)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Renny Harlin (RHARL) 25000 17.10 (+0.20)          The Strangers: Chapter 2 (STRN4) 150000 23.20 (+0.46)          The Convert (CNVRT) 25000 1.82 (+0.02)          Madelaine Petsch (MPETS) 25000 9.41 (+0.10)          Christmas Eve in Miller's Point (CEIMP) 50000 1.79 (-0.02)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 77.66 (-1.40)          The Fall Guy (FALGY) 150000 77.66 (-1.40)          Press Your Luck (PLUCK) 150000 7.81 (-0.19)          Frozen III (FROZ3) 1000 282.81 (-3.75)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 150000 51.66 (-3.77)          Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 25000 12.21 (-0.23)          Girls Trip 2 (GRLT2) 25000 12.21 (-0.23)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (MMAX5) 50000 142.45 (-3.61)          IF (IMGNF) 96714 108.67 (-1.87)          White Bird (WHBRD) 150000 14.84 (+0.86)          White Bird (WHBRD) 150000 14.84 (+0.86)          Martin Sheen (MSHEE) 25000 4.48 (+0.15)          The Garfield Movie H$40 Put Fri- (GRFLD.PU) 25000 2.63 (+0.21)          The Garfield Movie H$40 Put Fri- (GRFLD.PU) 25000 2.63 (+0.21)          The Garfield Movie H$40 Call Fri (GRFLD.CA) 25000 2.40 (-0.41)          The Garfield Movie H$40 Call Fri (GRFLD.CA) 25000 2.40 (-0.41)          The Garfield Movie - Opening Wee (GRFLD.OW) 100000 41.29 (-0.99)          The Garfield Movie - Opening Wee (GRFLD.OW) 100000 41.29 (-0.99)          IF (IMGNF) 109674 108.67 (-1.87)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 150000 85.96 (-1.46)          Back to Black (BTBLK) 150000 9.39 (+0.37)          Heads of State (HDSST) 6000 18.21 (+0.05)          Luca Guadagnino (LGUAD) 25000 12.19 (+0.39)          Jessica Rothe (JROTH) 25000 12.95 (-0.70)          Heads of State (HDSST) 6000 18.21 (+0.05)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga H$55 Put (MMAX5.PU) 25000 1.82 (-0.10)          Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga H$55 Put (MMAX5.PU) 25000 1.82 (-0.10)