SPIN FACTOR®

The HSX Blog



Whisper Numbers: Godzilla to cast a huge box office shadow

16 years after Hollywood first tried to adapt the Japanese monster film, Godzilla [GODZL] finally roars back with a another remake. Although Roland Emmerich’s version was 1998's biggest opening at $44 million ($74.8 million adjusted for inflation), moviegoers widely panned the Jurassic Park-wannabe featuring a giant iguana. The latest Godzilla harkens back to the look of the Japanese original, albeit at a significantly larger size. Bryan Cranston [BCRAN], Aaron Johnson [AJOHN] and Elizabeth Olsen [EOLSE] lead the cast, but the King of Monsters is the main attraction. Warner Bros. offered the first little glimpse at Comic-Con last July and the marketing campaign along with buzz has built up steadily ever since. The trailers have done such a fantastic job of teasing the monster(s) and their epic showdown that some moviegoers may end up disappointed that the star doesn’t really show up until near the end.  Advance tickets sales are doubled Pacific Rim ($37M), ahead of World War Z ($66M) as well as Thor: The Dark World ($86 million). Rampaging into 3952 theaters, Godzilla could destroy $76 million.

After its opening weekend rager, Neighbors [NEIBR] will continue to make noise. With its surprising wide appeal that includes older woman, Neighbors should hold better than 50% for about $27 million in its second weekend.

The Amazing Spider-Man 2 [SPID5] is freefalling fast, and will be further stomped by Godzilla. The sequel may grab another $17 million on the way down.

Jon Hamm [JHAMM] toplines the feel-good sports movie Million Dollar Arm [MDARM] based on the true story of two aspiring baseball players from India. The PG-rated drama has tested really well and Disney sneaked the film last weekend to generate word of mouth. However, the film lacks starpower and Godzilla casts a large shadow this weekend. Starting 3019 theaters, Million Dollar Arm may strike up $16 million.

That’s the whisper from the virtual trading floor.



Tag(s): GODZL, BCRAN, AJOHN, EOLSE, NEIBR, SPID5, JHAMM, MDARM

View more Blog posts »



By Box Office Whisperer on Thursday, May 15, 2014 @ 03:23 PM 2980 views

Recent Comments

    No recent comments.



Sight (SIGHT) 150000 8.15 (-0.25)          Never Let Go (MTHRL) 35000 18.71 (+0.01)          The Outside Room (TOSRM) 1 0.02 (-0.02)          Gambit (GAMBI) 105 0.93 (0.00)          Sunflower (SFLWR) 30000 13.98 (-0.07)          Sesame Street (SESAM) 30000 3.16 (-0.03)          Phoebe Waller-Bridge (PWALL) 25000 102.03 (-1.00)          IF (IMGNF) 50000 108.67 (-1.87)          Phoebe Waller-Bridge (PWALL) 25000 102.03 (-1.00)          IF (IMGNF) 145 108.67 (-1.87)          Emma Roberts (EROBE) 1 8.23 (-0.10)          Jamie Bell (JBELL) 25000 28.41 (-0.25)          Sesame Street (SESAM) 30000 3.16 (-0.03)          Emma Roberts (EROBE) 25000 8.23 (-0.10)          The Garfield Movie (GRFLD) 1 85.93 (-1.49)          Jamie Bell (JBELL) 25000 28.41 (-0.25)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 110000 18.00 (0.00)          Sidekicks (SDKCK) 30000 2.69 (0.00)          The Thicket (THCKT) 150000 0.02 (+0.01)          The Outside Room (TOSRM) 150000 0.02 (-0.02)          Not Another Church Movie (NACM) 150000 1.99 (-0.02)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Annabelle Wallis (AWALL) 25000 43.81 (+0.33)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 110000 18.00 (0.00)          Didi (DIDI) 150000 4.68 (+0.03)          Annabelle Wallis (AWALL) 25000 43.81 (+0.33)          Caught Stealing (CSTEL) 10000 35.15 (-0.43)          Emilia Perez (EMILP) 20 5.24 (+1.20)          Ready or Not 2 (RONO2) 10000 16.14 (+0.95)          Steven Spielberg (SSPIE) 250 39.44 (-0.12)          The Bad Guys 2 (TBAD2) 150000 69.24 (-0.19)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Hannah Waddingham (HWADD) 100 63.54 (-0.25)          Finn Wittrock (FWITT) 12100 5.96 (-0.07)          Not Another Church Movie (NACM) 150000 1.99 (-0.02)          The Strangers: Chapter 3 (STRN5) 150000 18.00 (0.00)          Untitled Fourth Film directed by (UJPE4) 250 69.36 (-0.37)          Press Your Luck (PLUCK) 10000 7.60 (-0.40)          The Wedding Banquet (TWEDB) 1000 8.52 (-1.53)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 1 13.62 (-0.07)          Werner Herzog (WHERZ) 12400 15.34 (-0.14)          Calamity Hustle (CLMTY) 10000 49.59 (-5.84)          They Follow aka It Follows 2 (TFLW2) 300 13.62 (-0.07)          Rihanna documentary (RHANA) 499 6.41 (-0.02)          Sidekicks (SDKCK) 30000 2.69 (0.00)          Scream 7 aka Scream VII (SCRM7) 150000 37.99 (-0.07)          I Saw the TV Glow (ISTVG) 1 2.77 (-0.33)          I Saw the TV Glow (ISTVG) 5 2.77 (-0.33)          James Bond 26 (JB26) 1000 134.72 (-0.60)          Roland Emmerich (REMME) 11000 59.04 (-0.07)